Why does this 2012 Miami Dolphins story sound so familiar? For whatever reason, it feels like Dolphins fans have been down this path before.
Think back to the 2008 Miami Dolphins season. If you can't recall or you forced yourself to "misremember", let me remind you. This is the story of a rebuilding team starting from scratch, merely looking to improve upon on a highly forgettable and historically awful 1-15 2007 season. 2008 brought a new Head Coach and new Quarterback into the fold. A new culture was being created in Miami.
Is this starting to sound more familiar?
Fast-forward to 2012 - how does the 2012 team compare to the 2008 team? Let's go down the checklist:
New game-managing Quarterback? Check
New Head Coach? Check
New culture? Check
4-4 start through 8 games? Check
Played NFC West Division? Check
Zero to few wins against teams with winning records? Check
These resemblances, these eerily resemblances are remarkable. That Miami Dolphins squad would end up winning 11 games on the back of discarded signal-caller Chad Pennington and the "revolutionary" Wildcat offence, earning their first playoff birth in 7 seasons. Despite, an early exit in the postseason this new Dolphins regime led by Vice-President of Football Operations, Bill Parcells provided a small glimmer of hope of what would be a return to glory for the once-proud franchise. However, that small glimmer of hope would quickly darken with each fist-pumping Field Goal after fist-pumping Field Goal from Head Coach Tony Sparano. The 2008 season was the start of a giant step backward, rather than forward.
Field Goal Fist Pump!
Flash forward 3 seasons, Chad Pennington along with "future franchise QB" Chad Henne and said Head Coach Tony Sparano are all gone with only much-maligned General Manager Jeff Ireland remaining to direct personnel decisions.
I know history indicates that this optimistic Dolphins season is more of a mirage than the start of a successful run in South Beach, but wait Dolfans! Before you start to hit the panic button, or reserve that optimism you've built up for a surprising 4-4 start to the 2012 campaign, I'm hear to tell you, despite these similarities, the 2012 Dolphins, unlike the 2008 Dolphins, aren't a flash in the pan and will continue to build upon this success. Feel free to continue building that optimism. Here is where these two teams differ:
Head Coach Joe Philbin is much more equipped to handle the responsibilities of being the main boss than Tony Sparano ever was. He already calls a better game than Sparano ever did.
While it's preached for rookie QB Ryan Tannehill to limit his mistakes and manage the game, his skill-set is MUCH more diverse than what Chad Pennington could offer as signal caller. Both manage a game exceedingly well but unlike Pennington at the time, Tannehill's best years are ahead of him and he is able to sling the ball when needed.
Ryan Tannehill is the first-round, franchise Quarterback of the future - Chad Pennington was a New York Jets cast-off.
The NFC West provides much more competition to AFC East teams than it did 4 seasons ago, ergo the victories over these teams are more impressive than they were in 2008.
The 2012 Dolphins are winning games through executing fundamentals like running the ball and stopping the run; they are not relying on gimmicks like the Wild Cat to spark an otherwise pedestrian offence.
I hope I talked you off that ledge. While scary similarities remain between the 2008 and 2012 Miami Dolphins, the 2012 team is ready to step ahead.
Usually, I write this blog to add PR perspective to an intriguing sports story. However, sometimes I need to embrace the Miami Dolphins superfan in me. It was yet another pivotal moment in the history of the franchise on Friday with the announcement of the hiring of their new Head Coach, former Green Bay Packers Offensive Coordinator, Joe Philbin. Philbin becomes the sixth Dolphins Coach in seven years; I'm not too sure how "pivotal" these moments truly are anymore. Since Don Shula ended his 25 plus years coaching tenure with the Dolphins in 1996, the Dolphins have employed eight coaches to become the, "next Don Shula".
Is Joe Philbin the Man to Finally Lead the Dolphins Back to the Superbowl?
Coincidentally, since former Dolphin great, Quarterback and Hall-of-Famer Dan Marino retired in 1999, the Dolphins have employed 17 Quarterbacks to become the, "next Dan Marino".
The new Head Coach and QB combo for the Dolphins is a road WELL-travelled. So why should Dolphin fans feel optimistic about the latest hiring in the 15-year journey to find stability at Head Coach and Quarterback?
Philbin's hiring may not have come with the hoopla the hiring of an experienced and successful coach like Jeff Fisher would have created, but I feel it's a smart move regardless of the hype. Already a likable individual, Philbin will be rooted for thoroughly in Miami.
During Philbin's first week of interviewing for head coaching jobs, tragedy struck his family when his 21-year-old son's body was discovered in the Wisconsin River. The week that started a new and prosperous journey in his life ended in unthinkable heartache. A week afterwards, Philbin returned to the Packers sideline to coach the offense in a divisional playoff game against the New York Giants. From opening kick-off the Packers looked like a lifeless team still grieving alongside their respected coach. The Packers were upset by the Giants and were eliminated from the chance to repeat as Superbowl Champions, a mountain Philbin stood atop of, last year.
Philbin will have the support of Phin Nation but coaches fighting adversity doesn't automatically equate to winning Superbowls. Here is how Joe Philbin can lead the Miami Dolphins back into the playoffs and perhaps back to the mountaintop Philbin stood with his former team.
As long as I've been a fan of the Miami Dolphins (since 1990), I can't ever remember them employing the West Coast Offense (WCO). Someone please correct me if I"m wrong. I suppose they never had the personnel to do so. As we stand right now, they most certainly have the personnel to switch to Bill Walsh's iconic offensive scheme. Their most oft-used weapons will fourish in the WCO. Brandon Marshall, their large-bodied and multi-talented Wide Receiver will benefit from the WCO's principles of employing big, sure-handed receivers (though, admittedly, not always the case with Marshall) with quarterbacks that get them the ball quickly and let them do their most significant damage when the ball is in their hands. There are not many receivers currently in the league that are better or more physical than Marshall after the catch.
Reggie Bush, a rejuvenated Heisman-winning Running Back will also be a benefactor with the switch to a WCO. While Bush was brilliant running between the tackles during the second-half of the 2011 season (a feat experts said was not possible for Bush), he is still utilized best by giving him the ball in space and making tacklers miss. This is the ideal trait for a Running Back in the WCO. Bush had a 43 receptions in 2011, a far cry from his personal best of 88 in his rookie campaign. I expect him to get closer to 70 receptions and nearly 300 touches in 2012.
Stability at QB
Dolphin fans have LONGED for stability in the QB position since Marino's retirement in 1999. 17 Quarterbacks have failed to become the long-term solution, at the most important position, for the Miami Dolphins. Dolphin fans aren't necessarily looking for the next Dan Marino but a QB that they feel confident in, if last-minute heroics are needed. I believe Matt Moore (the latest horsey in the Dolphins QB carousel) played admirably after taking over for the injured Chad Henne. Moore could be the long-term solution for the Dolphins, but many fans aren't looking for that type of gamble. I believe many Dolphin fans are hoping Matt Moore to be a quality backup for the next several years.
I think going into 2012, the Dolphins will have their answer at QB; it's going to be one of three guys:
Matt Flynn - Flynn will be the rumoured favourite to be under centre for the Dolphins in 2012. It makes incredible sense. Flynn has been under Philbin's tutelage in Green Bay for the past four seasons. After a six-Touchdown game in week 17 against Detroit, he'll undoubtedly be starting for a Quarterback-starving team. While Flynn's body of work is not a substantial one, it's even smaller than Moore's, he would come with a great pedigree. Flynn was a National Champion at the University of Louisiana State in 2007. While he was a late-round selection in the 2008 draft, he has fared exceedingly well in his two career starts, throwing for 10 Touchdowns and nearly 800 yards. Oh and for the past four seasons he's studied under the best QB in the league, Aaron Rodgers. Despite the small sample size, I'm a Flynn guy and feel he can be the guy to add stability to the position. Drawback: Flynn has the shortest ceiling of the three choices
Peyton Manning - Despite the Dolphins 6-10 record, they have a team that can certainly win NOW. Look at the Dolphins roster, there isn't a glaring hole to be found. Peyton Manning would make a lot of sense. It's still unknown what the Colts will do with Manning (we do know they are drafting the prodigal Andrew Luck with the #1 overall pick), but I suspect that Manning will either be a salary cap casualty or traded for a couple draft picks. If healthy, Manning, 35, should still have three or four great seasons left in him. If that's the case, the Dolphins should consider giving up a first and second round selection for him. Manning on the Dolphins would catapult them to favourites of not only the AFC East but the entire AFC. Drawback: Health remains the biggest concern for a Manning acquisition. If he passes physicals, it's a no-brainer. The only other consideration is that Manning is in the twilight of his career and certainly is not a ten-year solution but a heck of a three-year solution.
Robert Griffin III - Robert Griffin III, affectionately called RG3, is the 2011 Heisman winner. The swift, accurate and smart Baylor Bear has shot up draft boards in the last few weeks of the NCAA season. It is no secret that one, maybe many teams covet his superb athleticism and will trade up to the #2 spot to draft him. Why not the Dolphins? The Dolphins are STARVING for an electric Quarterback in the style of Michael Vick. Also, because RG3 is highly accurate, he will fit the mold of a WCO Quarterback. It's also important to note, current Dolphins General Manager, Jeff Ireland, is a Baylor alumni.
Drawback: Despite his skills and athleticism, his transition to the pros is still largely contested and a big if. Calculate that risk by the draft picks needed to trade up to the #2 spot and it could be an unmitigated disaster.
As a Dolphins fan, being taken down this all-too familiar road before, it would be easy to balk at the idea that Head Coach Joe Philbin would fare better than his predeccesors and the Dolphins would be hiring the next Joe Philbin by 2014. However, this time, it simply feels different.
Let's hope he has no ties to the Cowboys or University of Alabama...
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