Sometimes the turning point in a game can transpire in the game's first minute. Such was the case in the Miami Dolphins' past two defeats. It wasn't Reggie Bush's fumble in the first quarter during the Dolphins Week 10 loss to Tennessee Titans or the first quarter punt return by Leodis McKelvin in the first quarter of a road loss in Orchard Park to the Buffalo Bills in Week 11 that would prove to be turning points and swing momentum in favour of their opponents. Momentum was already in the tight grip of these opponents before those respective plays ever occurred.
It was the Dolphins offense, led by rookie signal-caller Ryan Tannehill, that has started the last two games. In both of those games, the first drive resulted in alarmingly conservative play-calling. Against Tennessee, after one first down, the Dolphins would then run the ball three times, with a final uninspiring fullback carry from Javorski Lane on third and one leading to an opening drive punt. It was much of the same against Buffalo, save the one first down. After a predictable, minimal gain run on first down, Tannehill then completed a screen pass to Hartline for five yards. The Dolphins faced another third and short on the opening drive and again went conservative attempting a five yard out to Anthony Fasano, resulting in a punt (which would be the punt McKelvin would return for the TD). Of the nine plays from those opening drives, Tannehill did not attempt a pass that was in the air 5 yards past the line of scrimmage. It doesn't get much more conservative than that.
Those early punts were the true turning points in the game.
While I will concede that you're always better off in third and short situations than third and long attempts, you simply cannot play to achieve third and short situations with each set of downs you have on a drive. Eventually, you have to push the ball up the field. I live by one credo in football:
THE MORE PLAYS YOU ATTEMPT, THE MORE LIKELY YOU'LL MAKE A MISTAKE
I understand yards and points are tough to come by in the NFL and even more so for the Miami Dolphins. Truly, running the Dolphins offense these days is no easy task for Philbin and Offensive Coordinator Mike Sherman. They are dealing with a rookie Quarterback, a shaky offensive line and a set of extremely ordinary pass catchers. That said, it's time to see what we truly have in Tannehill. To this point, Tannehill has provided highly promising performances. I don't think his numbers (6 Touchdowns to 11 Interceptions) are indicative to how good he's been this season, especially for a converted receiver who had only 19 starts previous to his entry into the NFL. Tannehill has been poised, collected and methodical in his approach. For Philbin, it's time to take Tannehill out of the crib and let him sleep in the big boy's bed aka let him loose!
Lately, Joe Philbin has no answers for the Dolphins offence
The schedule won't lighten for Tannehill over the next few weeks, a top-ranked Seattle Seahawks defense travels to South Beach this Sunday to battle the Fish. However, it's imperative that Philbin has Tannehill push the ball up field because, as been the case the last two weeks, they continue to be on the short end of third and short.
Usually, I write this blog to add PR perspective to an intriguing sports story. However, sometimes I need to embrace the Miami Dolphins superfan in me. It was yet another pivotal moment in the history of the franchise on Friday with the announcement of the hiring of their new Head Coach, former Green Bay Packers Offensive Coordinator, Joe Philbin. Philbin becomes the sixth Dolphins Coach in seven years; I'm not too sure how "pivotal" these moments truly are anymore. Since Don Shula ended his 25 plus years coaching tenure with the Dolphins in 1996, the Dolphins have employed eight coaches to become the, "next Don Shula".
Is Joe Philbin the Man to Finally Lead the Dolphins Back to the Superbowl?
Coincidentally, since former Dolphin great, Quarterback and Hall-of-Famer Dan Marino retired in 1999, the Dolphins have employed 17 Quarterbacks to become the, "next Dan Marino".
The new Head Coach and QB combo for the Dolphins is a road WELL-travelled. So why should Dolphin fans feel optimistic about the latest hiring in the 15-year journey to find stability at Head Coach and Quarterback?
Philbin's hiring may not have come with the hoopla the hiring of an experienced and successful coach like Jeff Fisher would have created, but I feel it's a smart move regardless of the hype. Already a likable individual, Philbin will be rooted for thoroughly in Miami.
During Philbin's first week of interviewing for head coaching jobs, tragedy struck his family when his 21-year-old son's body was discovered in the Wisconsin River. The week that started a new and prosperous journey in his life ended in unthinkable heartache. A week afterwards, Philbin returned to the Packers sideline to coach the offense in a divisional playoff game against the New York Giants. From opening kick-off the Packers looked like a lifeless team still grieving alongside their respected coach. The Packers were upset by the Giants and were eliminated from the chance to repeat as Superbowl Champions, a mountain Philbin stood atop of, last year.
Philbin will have the support of Phin Nation but coaches fighting adversity doesn't automatically equate to winning Superbowls. Here is how Joe Philbin can lead the Miami Dolphins back into the playoffs and perhaps back to the mountaintop Philbin stood with his former team.
As long as I've been a fan of the Miami Dolphins (since 1990), I can't ever remember them employing the West Coast Offense (WCO). Someone please correct me if I"m wrong. I suppose they never had the personnel to do so. As we stand right now, they most certainly have the personnel to switch to Bill Walsh's iconic offensive scheme. Their most oft-used weapons will fourish in the WCO. Brandon Marshall, their large-bodied and multi-talented Wide Receiver will benefit from the WCO's principles of employing big, sure-handed receivers (though, admittedly, not always the case with Marshall) with quarterbacks that get them the ball quickly and let them do their most significant damage when the ball is in their hands. There are not many receivers currently in the league that are better or more physical than Marshall after the catch.
Reggie Bush, a rejuvenated Heisman-winning Running Back will also be a benefactor with the switch to a WCO. While Bush was brilliant running between the tackles during the second-half of the 2011 season (a feat experts said was not possible for Bush), he is still utilized best by giving him the ball in space and making tacklers miss. This is the ideal trait for a Running Back in the WCO. Bush had a 43 receptions in 2011, a far cry from his personal best of 88 in his rookie campaign. I expect him to get closer to 70 receptions and nearly 300 touches in 2012.
Stability at QB
Dolphin fans have LONGED for stability in the QB position since Marino's retirement in 1999. 17 Quarterbacks have failed to become the long-term solution, at the most important position, for the Miami Dolphins. Dolphin fans aren't necessarily looking for the next Dan Marino but a QB that they feel confident in, if last-minute heroics are needed. I believe Matt Moore (the latest horsey in the Dolphins QB carousel) played admirably after taking over for the injured Chad Henne. Moore could be the long-term solution for the Dolphins, but many fans aren't looking for that type of gamble. I believe many Dolphin fans are hoping Matt Moore to be a quality backup for the next several years.
I think going into 2012, the Dolphins will have their answer at QB; it's going to be one of three guys:
Matt Flynn - Flynn will be the rumoured favourite to be under centre for the Dolphins in 2012. It makes incredible sense. Flynn has been under Philbin's tutelage in Green Bay for the past four seasons. After a six-Touchdown game in week 17 against Detroit, he'll undoubtedly be starting for a Quarterback-starving team. While Flynn's body of work is not a substantial one, it's even smaller than Moore's, he would come with a great pedigree. Flynn was a National Champion at the University of Louisiana State in 2007. While he was a late-round selection in the 2008 draft, he has fared exceedingly well in his two career starts, throwing for 10 Touchdowns and nearly 800 yards. Oh and for the past four seasons he's studied under the best QB in the league, Aaron Rodgers. Despite the small sample size, I'm a Flynn guy and feel he can be the guy to add stability to the position. Drawback: Flynn has the shortest ceiling of the three choices
Peyton Manning - Despite the Dolphins 6-10 record, they have a team that can certainly win NOW. Look at the Dolphins roster, there isn't a glaring hole to be found. Peyton Manning would make a lot of sense. It's still unknown what the Colts will do with Manning (we do know they are drafting the prodigal Andrew Luck with the #1 overall pick), but I suspect that Manning will either be a salary cap casualty or traded for a couple draft picks. If healthy, Manning, 35, should still have three or four great seasons left in him. If that's the case, the Dolphins should consider giving up a first and second round selection for him. Manning on the Dolphins would catapult them to favourites of not only the AFC East but the entire AFC. Drawback: Health remains the biggest concern for a Manning acquisition. If he passes physicals, it's a no-brainer. The only other consideration is that Manning is in the twilight of his career and certainly is not a ten-year solution but a heck of a three-year solution.
Robert Griffin III - Robert Griffin III, affectionately called RG3, is the 2011 Heisman winner. The swift, accurate and smart Baylor Bear has shot up draft boards in the last few weeks of the NCAA season. It is no secret that one, maybe many teams covet his superb athleticism and will trade up to the #2 spot to draft him. Why not the Dolphins? The Dolphins are STARVING for an electric Quarterback in the style of Michael Vick. Also, because RG3 is highly accurate, he will fit the mold of a WCO Quarterback. It's also important to note, current Dolphins General Manager, Jeff Ireland, is a Baylor alumni.
Drawback: Despite his skills and athleticism, his transition to the pros is still largely contested and a big if. Calculate that risk by the draft picks needed to trade up to the #2 spot and it could be an unmitigated disaster.
As a Dolphins fan, being taken down this all-too familiar road before, it would be easy to balk at the idea that Head Coach Joe Philbin would fare better than his predeccesors and the Dolphins would be hiring the next Joe Philbin by 2014. However, this time, it simply feels different.
Let's hope he has no ties to the Cowboys or University of Alabama...
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